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USD trades steady ahead of Fed rate decision

Daily Currency Update

The US Dollar Index (DXY) traded near the 103.55 range this morning, maintaining steady ground ahead of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy decisions overnight and the Federal Reserve interest rate announcement set for Wednesday. Despite some dovish remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently, most Fed officials showed caution around premature monetary easing. Rising US Treasury yields lent some strength to the DXY this morning. US Treasury bond yields rose alongside trading figures at 4.75% for the 2-year yield, 4.35% for 5-year yields, and 4.33% for the 10-year yields. Markets will be sure to keep a close eye on Wednesday’s rate decision.

Key Movers

The EUR/USD pair traded in a bearish tone this morning near the 1.08711 range. Euro moves are likely to remain limited ahead of Wednesday’s Fed monetary policy decision.

The GBP/USD traded in the low 1.27 range this morning. UK inflation is expected out tomorrow, followed closely by the Bank of England (BoE) rate decision on Thursday. The BoE is expected to hold rates at 5.25% while inflation in the UK is expected to drop, which will be crucial for the BoE’s forecast of 2% inflation by mid-year.

The USD/JPY pair held close to gains over 149.00 this morning ahead of the BoJ’s rate decision tomorrow. According to Bloomberg, the BoJ is expected to hike rates during its meeting tomorrow.

The USD/CAD traded above the 1.35 level this morning ahead of the release of Canadian inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s widely anticipated rate decision on Wednesday. Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February is set to be released tomorrow. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices rose this morning above the $82 a barrel level. This comes after the International Energy Agency (IEA) edited its oil outlook for 2024 based on the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cuts. This bolstered oil prices to push upwards of a 3-month high.

Expected Ranges

  • EUR/USD: 1.0868 – 1.0905 ▼
  • GBP/USD: 1.272 – 1.2746 ▼
  • AUD/USD: 0.6552 – 0.6573 ▼
  • USD/CAD: 1.3521 – 1.355 ▲

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